Re: If the shuttle were cancelled today? How long for CEV?


Bob Haller wrote:
> How long for the CEV? If the shuttle never flew again, the 5 billion a
> year budget would be freed up to design and build the replacement.
>
> With a shuttle derived CEV and heavy lifter, just how long till we
> could fly again?

My guess is that it would be at least four years
before the second stage would be ready, but then
only for an unmanned test flight. The CEV would
probably take five years, and it too would only
then be ready for unmanned tests. Add a year at
least before the things would be qualified for
crewed flights. So the answer is six years, or
2011.

But I'm only guessing.

- Ed Kyle

.

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