Dependence in PI is More Optimal Than Independence and Applications to Brownian Motion and Poisson Processes

From: Osher Doctorow (mdoctorow_at_comcast.net)
Date: 08/07/04


Date: Sat, 7 Aug 2004 18:04:07 +0000 (UTC)


 From Osher Doctorow mdoctorow@comcast.net

COPYRIGHT NOTICE

Copyright by Owner Osher Doctorow Ph.D.
Dependence in PI is More Optimal Than Independence and Applications
to Brownian Motion and Poisson Processes
First published 2004

 From the inequality:

1) 1 + P(A)P(B) - P(A) < = 1 + P(AB) - P(A) for positive quadrant
                           dependence

it follows that dependence in PI is more optimal than statistical
independence in PI. Since statistical independence in PI is more
optimal than in BCP ((Bayesian) Conditional Probability-Statistics)
and IPS (Independent Probability-Statistics) from previous postings
of mine, the optimality extends "across the board".

Example. Brownian Motion/Wiener Processes and Poisson processes
are respectively defined among other conditions by:

2) W(t) - W(s) ~ N(0, o^2(t-s)) for s < = t and {W(ti) - W(ti-1)}
are independent, ti nondecreasing in time t, i = 1 to n

3) X(t) - X(s) ~ Poisson(lambda(t-s)) 0 < = s < = t and {X(ti) -
X(ti-1)} are independent analogously to (2) above

where ~ means "is distributed as" and o is "sigma" ("standard
deviation").

The presence of differences of random variables in both (2) and (3),
or "increments" such as W(ti) - W(ti-1), suggests that PI is
involved. If we "standardize" these increments and truncate them
into [0, 1], normality is not much affected and independence is
retained, but then let's change their independence to positive
quadrant dependence, that is to say P(AB) > = P(A)P(B) or
F(x,y) > = FX(x)FY(y) or f(x,y) > = fX(x)fY(y). We would expect
optimality.

Osher Doctorow
                           



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