Re: Determining Confidence Interval

From: George Kahrimanis (anakreon_at_hol.gr)
Date: 09/30/04


Date: 30 Sep 2004 09:46:26 -0700

Roger, I hope I am helping if I try to break it down.
Say, you need to know check whether the probability is
0.2 +/- 0.01, and you want a method that
(I) if this is the truth, the method would not say "false"
more often than, say 3% of the time, on average (worst case)
and
(II) if this is not the truth, the method would not
say it is right, more often than, say, 1$ of the time,
on average (worst case).

However, I recommend that you calculate what you gain and what
you lose in each of these cases, and form a decision problem,
if possible.

Good Luck, ~ George Kahrimanis



Relevant Pages

  • Re: Riemann zeta-function
    ... wanting the probability of those natural numbers ... constant avenue of virtuous truth across all belief is truth itself. ... moth would seemingly "appear" in front of the display and orbit very ... the substance would fall seemingly from ...
    (sci.math)
  • Re: i am inside keen, so I avoid you
    ... The casuists submit the decision to the corrupt reason, ... But is it probable that probability gives assurance? ... Difference between rest and security of conscience. ... but truth; nothing gives rest but the sincere search for truth. ...
    (sci.med.cardiology)
  • Re: There is no reason whatsoever.......
    ... If one uses "existential indeterminacy", ... in fact probability has no meaning outside of statistics. ... I am not saying that there is no such thing as truth, ... thats exactly what you say, you give probability 70 % for the truth. ...
    (sci.math)
  • Re: There is no reason whatsoever.......
    ... in fact probability has no meaning outside of statistics. ... you give probability 70 % for the truth. ... I also have zero oranges. ... My apples are IDENTICAL ...
    (sci.math)
  • Re: generally Hakeem will model the appearance, and if Muhammad courageously passes it too, the terr
    ... and that is why it is important to choose good guides. ... Vince in bono malum.227 (Saint Augustine.) ... are many people who see the truth, and who cannot attain to it; ... Take away probability, and you can no longer please ...
    (rec.arts.books.tolkien)