Re: estimating the number of false positives

clemenr_at_wmin.ac.uk
Date: 03/02/05


Date: 2 Mar 2005 05:45:10 -0800

Disclaimer: I'm no expert statistician but that rarely shuts me up.

For what it's worth, I agree with you. If the chance of an observation
being "yes" is p, and the only other possible outcome is "no", then the
probability of "no" for that observation is q = (1-p). Hence for any M
element subset of your N observations, the expected number of "no"
results would be the SUM of qi for i=1,2,3,..,M.

If you're looking at how the accuracy of a test as you vary a
threshold, and if you're not looking at them already, you might want to
google up Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves.

Cheers,

Ross-c



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