Re: probability concept
- From: <kenneth_m_lin@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Wed, 01 Mar 2006 05:33:57 GMT
The process of coin flipping is "memoryless," meaning that the outcome isn't
affected by previous outcomes. On the other hand, you might have a
two-headed coin in your case.
<b83503104@xxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:1141162609.664141.102620@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Given a fair coin, IF the observations are H,H,H,H,H,..., H for 1
million times, then the next toss still has equal probability of being
H or T.
However, we know that, asymptotically, H and T have the same
expectations, even though psychologically we might expect a T more than
a H (for the not so math oriented person).
What is the easiest way to convince the concept that this is not the
case?
Thanks
.
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