A BLUNDER more from Bob Ling

A BLUNDER more from Bob Ling



It was repeatable stated (by Bob Ling, see below) that the criminal court verdicts were exactly equal of a test of hypotheses decision, in particular the rejection of null hypotheses equal a NOT GUILTY.
Suppose the following episode:
Someone is knifed to death in a Philadelphia street at 18:00 (reported to West time, 22:00 local), on May 1, 2006, an occurrence noticed by several passer-by. John is arrested as suspect to commit the crime and led to the Court only because he looks like the true murder.
John lives in S. Francisco at the same apartment since 1980 and (because is his birthday) invited a lot of neighbours and friends to dinner which take place at 19.00, local hour.. At mid-night they left.
_____H0: John is not the murder could be stated absolutely.
In the case of to test a continuous parameter m, which null hypotheses is m=0, CANNOT BE (and as any importance) stated that it is absolutely true. One can only say that (in view of the data under analysis) we cannot reject the hypotheses of the parameter nullity.

All comments will be gratefully acknowledged

_________licas (Luis A. Afonso)


Reef Fish wrote

http://tinyurl.com/mlzg6

*** contains MUCH more than what you tried to express, in precise terms, and precise analogy to the decision making in a Criminal Law of Justice. The analogy is PERFECT.***

My response

THE AMNALOGY IS NOT PERFECT , not at all. A person can be ABSOLUTELLY INNOCENT., the Null Hypotheses can be proved to be true.


__________licas (Luis A. Afonso)
.

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