Afonso Lectures on "Portuguese Statistics for Dummies"


"Luis A. Afonso" wrote, rocking on a Dead Horse in the WRONG topic:

"Re: A problem about conditional probability with 2 conditions".

My response:

Reef Fish is so *opaque* that he did not understand

How sad Sci. Stat. Math. Readers be under the fire of a so ignorant person!
Complete nonsense are Reef Fish comments.
_____licas (Luis A. Afonso)


Since my conversation was with Jack Tomsky when you and
your ignorant pal m00es felt compelled to step in your own doodoo,
I'll let Jack speak, as I had already done so -- which you ignored:


Mon, Aug 28 2006 9:35 am (Jack Tomsky JT wrote)

JT> Luis, your hypothesis statements are on p1 and p2, which you
JT> defined as 8/13 and 3/13, respectively. I happen to be 100%
JT> confident that 8/13 is not less than or equal to 3/13. You quoted

JT> von Braun, Oppenheimer, and Fermi, but presented no evidence
JT> that any of them ever believed that 8/13 <= 3/13.

Tues, Aug 29 2006 12:34 am, in a modified subject by Afonso,

Subject: Never , Jack Tomsky, NEVER, Can We Know
If 8/13 is Greater Than 3/13

JT> I made the subject title a little more complete.

RF> That pretty much summarized what Jack had told you,
RF> Luis A. Afonso, at least a dozen times of the SAME or
RF> equivalent because you kept putting SAMPLE proportions
RF> into your hypotheses to be tested, and made nonsense
RF> statements about fractions

I may be 'opaque' and ignorant as you claimed, but I happened
to be with Jack and others who do not NEED to run a Monte
Carlo to conclude that 3/13 is less than 8/13, with 100%
certainty ;-) while after countless simulations you managed
to make the sillest statement that 3/13 < 8/13 with probability
greater than 0.9, but less than 0.98 depending on how you
applied the "Portuguese Statistics for Dummies" techniques.

-- Reef Fish Bob.

.

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