Re: exponential R.V
- From: Jack Tomsky <jtomsky@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sun, 21 Oct 2007 17:32:27 EDT
The question is as follows
The durations of calls to a radio talk show are known
to be
exponentially distributed with a mean of 3 minutes.
Q1. Given that a call has already lasted 4 minutes,
what is the
probability that it will last at leat another 4
minutes?
Q2. Given that a call has already lasted 4 minutes,
what is the
expected remaining time until it ends?
So I'm going to solve these problems like this.
A1 to Q1) P[ X > 8 | X > 4]
A2 to Q2) E[ X | X > 4 }
Am I going to right way?
For an exponential, the conditional probability that X>t2, given that X>t1, is the unconditional probability that X>t2-t1. Thus,
Q1): exp(-4/3)
Q2): 4+E(X) = 4+3 = 7.
Jack
.
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