Re: Will pay $$$ for an algorithm to lower a moving average of a series of numbers. Please help.

Point A:

My site works best on IE since I am not a web programmer and I use
Microsoft Front Page (an old Web-page making software program)...
nothing evil here.. I just dont have any other means of making a
simple web page.

My site CAN be viewed in FireFox, but you have to click/drag the mouse
over the page to see the text... it's a pain in the *** but if you
dont have IE than this method will at least let you see the
information.

I apologize for my limited web-programming skills -- I never claimed
to be a web programmer -- there is nothing Evil here, geez.

Point B: I have tried to state the problem in a "simple" way in order
to make it more understandable. One poster spent 8 posts and he STILL
didnt understand it until I made the examples page. But this hardly a
"trivial" problem to me. But it can be stated simply: I have 18,500
datapoints. The goal is to use that historical data to build a
formula/algorithm that will help predict which subsequent prices are
better to "overweight" and which future prices are better to
"underweight" with the objective of achieving an overall lower weight
average buy price. I stated it as a math problem to remove the noise
of the stock market, buy/sell prices, etc. It is simply a set of
integers and can be solved in a completely math/statistics way,
without all the distractions of the stock market. Nothing evil here,
just trying to make money using math.


Point C:

I am using this for a trading program to achieve a lower overall
buying price --- I have listed 18,500 previous prices in order to give
you historical data to use in determining things like average range,
standard deviation, etc. The object of the 10 datapoints is to have a
limited sequence of exposure in buys/sells. If I can achieve an
overall lower average for those 18,500 prices, I can make a profit --
that is all I am looking for. Again...making a profit isnt evil.

Conclusion:

I am willing to pay money to someone who can help with this math
problem. I have no other "agenda" and there is nothing "hidden" about
what I am doing.

Dan






On Feb 10, 1:41 am, illywhacker <illywac...@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
On Feb 9, 9:44 pm, crimefreesoftw...@xxxxxxxxx wrote:





My name is Daniel Andresen and I am the owner and operator of Dynamic
Design Software. We develop custom software programs for businesses,
government and individuals.

For the past several months, we have been working on a rather large
project for a current client. We have completed the framework of the
program but we are having a problem with one of the key formulas. We
have tried a few different ways to solve this problem and haven't
been
able to come up with a formula that works as well as we would like.

We have come to the conclusion that we need to present this to a
mathematician to get some further input.

So what we have tried to do is break down this problem into a
strictly
math question, with the hope of presenting this to a mathematician
who
may be able to develop a math formula in which we can apply.

Essentially, this math question involves moving averages and ways to
manipulate them.

The Bottom Line to our problem is :  We are trying to take a simple,
un-weighted moving average and lower that average by applying
different weights to the different data points of the series.

This is not as simple as it may seem.  Please look at the link
provided below to see important details of this math question.

http://crimefreesoftware.com/details.htm

Three points:

1) Since your site insists on IE, many people may suspect that you are
trying to exploit a browser-specific loophole to run malware. I
certainly do.

2) Your problem is trivial as stated. Of course, if you were trying to
do it in such a way that it could not be detected, that might be
harder.

3) Deliberately weighting the data so as to lower the value of a
moving average, e.g. crime figures, unemployment, in such a way that
the change cannot be detected does not sound terribly well motivated,
does it? What are you in fact dealing with, and why do you want to do
this?

illywhacker;- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

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